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Global Memory Market: Price Rise Possible in the Short Term
Despite the beginning of the week, when the number of transactions is small, this week began
high activity of traders in the spot market. For example, in Hong Kong
exchange yesterday the prices of both components and the original 512 MB DDR333 / 400 SDRAM
DIMM has risen significantly. Markers, 256 Mbit (32×8) DDR266 / 333/400 components
SDRAM today at the opening cost 3.68 / 3.85 and 4.00 dollars, respectively. Price
untested components after yesterday’s trading rose to $ 3.52-3.55
After a massive dump of memory chips to the spot market at the end of the past
month, system memory vendors slashed component sales in the first
half of December. According to DRAMeXchange experts, the demand for memory from Chinese
of traders on the eve of the New Year according to the lunar calendar has increased, which is impossible
talk about deliveries carefully controlled by manufacturers. According to analysts,
leading memory manufacturers will try to keep prices at the current level for
at least until the renewal of contract prices for the second half of December
– early January.
At today’s auction, the price of DDR SDRAM chips continued to grow, but SDR
SDRAM, in spite of the termination of the decline in selling prices of this type
memory from Samsung, while it continues to fall. As suggested in the references
by memory market 9
and December 10,
closer to the middle of this week, the prices of the main memory consumed by the market began
grow. Moreover, the increase in consumer demand in China is within the framework of the
messages about the shortage of capacity and equipment for testing microcircuits and the resulting
hence the rise in prices.
Based on the charts of the daily average price and the average price of components for 30 days,
already today, the average prices per day may exceed the indicator for 30 days, t.n.
“Golden cross”, which (subject to a number of conditions) may mean the beginning of a trend
growth. Among the conditions that must be met, it is worth mentioning, firstly,
maintenance of demand (or its growth), secondly, continued control over volumes
microcircuits supplied to the market by manufacturers. Apparently, it is possible to suggest,
that during the next week the upward trend will continue (differences are possible
only at an average daily pace).
To recreate the complete picture of the current industry,
it is worth citing data from the market research department DRAMeXchange. Estimated
specialists, global DRAM release in November increased compared to the previous
month by 9.1% and amounted to 460.2 million. conventional (256 Mbit) microcircuits. This is the most
high rate of output growth for the whole year. In December, the release of microcircuits
will decrease, because, firstly, new capacity in 12-inch factories will be
put into operation no earlier than 2021, and, secondly, at the end of the year, an increase in
the release of microcircuits is simply impractical.
DRAM release (million, conventional microcircuits)
DDR2 SDRAM Issue (mln. conventional microcircuits)