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World memory market: price stabilization ? the beginning of a trend or the result of a game?
The end of last week was marked by a slight change in the situation on the memory market.
So, with limited demand for DDR333 SDRAM in conditions of constrained supplies
of this type of component to the spot market, the price of this position has increased
compared to previous days. However, the rise in prices was insignificant and short-term.
But today traders in Taiwan seem to have decided to order prices: 256
Mbit (32×8) DDR266 SDRAM components at the last auction rose to $ 3.67
(growth – 0.05%), the price of DDR400 SDRAM has also increased – 256 Mbit components cost
$ 3.78 (up 0.07%). At the same time, the price of DDR333 SDRAM was fixed at the mark
$ 3.86, making it the most expensive of all markers.
As of the opening of exchanges, the price of “partially tested” microcircuits was
3.5 dollars, that is, these components have also risen in price, the only question is what
measures will be taken by suppliers and traders to keep prices at the current level.
In the SDR SDRAM sector, exchange observers noted a decrease in prices for 16 and 64 Mbps (1×16,
4×16) components manufactured by Hynix and Samsung, but the prices of these items
only started to grow today:
As for NAND flash, exchanges are reporting a decrease in the number of transactions carried out
traders at dumping prices – in order to make a profit, but the demand for
memory of this type remains low, and therefore prices have dropped further.
Usually Monday is a day of low activity of trading participants on exchanges, when
prices are mostly declining or staying at the level of the end of last week.
The fact that some of the names have risen in price today suggests
a very slight increase in demand for components from a number of module manufacturers,
but, on the one hand, it is too early to talk about the beginning of stable growth, on the other hand,
the rate of price growth in the last auction allows us to admit an artificial overstatement
prices: memory stocks are minimal, there is no demand – the best time
to try to stabilize prices.
To describe the possible development of the situation in the next year, it is worth giving a message
that at a press conference with analysts and investors, Samsung’s management,
citing her own research, reported a possible 30% price reduction
on system memory in 2021. Demand Driven by Increased Memory
in PC OEM, will grow by 44% next year, which will reduce the effect of the decline in average
prices. As for DDR2 SDRAM, it will become a mainstream solution for PCs not earlier than
second half of the year.